Friday, December 17, 2010

Online Sales Tax

There is controversy surrounding the avoidance of sales tax from our on-line purchases. Thanks to the utter failure of congress in dealing with the real estate crisis, the states are in a financial abyss that they have zero control over... It is now acknowledged by the "experts" that real estate values, and along with them, real estate tax revenue, will not again reach 2006 levels before 2022-2025! California alone has experienced over 3,500,000 foreclosures and short sales... with more than double that in "the pipeline"... thus to date, the state has lost over $8,750 Billion in real estate taxes. Thus the states desperately require keeping/collecting whatever sales tax revenue they are due...
A simple national online (only) sales tax, of say 5%, might be in line. The retailer would collect this tax, forwarding them as a separate line item in its already mandated quarterly reporting, to the treasury. The only additional forms being, a simple source of funds record sorted by the first two digits of the zip code identifying which state generated the sale (no specific mailing address allowed). .The treasury would then retain a 1% "collection fee" and forward the balance due to the various states. The various states would be required to accept these taxes as payment in full, waiving the right to seek any differential from the purchaser. These funds would be separate from, and not subject to any other legislation or the whim of congress. Granted, the states will receive less than their normal tax rate, they would also be relieved of the high cost of chasing down and collecting the tax.

We keep hearing that the "rich" ought to pay their fair share of taxes...With an online sales tax, we all pay our fair share of taxes due... at the same time avoiding the hypocrisy of "getting the wealthy"...The online tracking firm, Comscore.com, estimates that there were over one-billion dollars in online sales for cyber-Monday alone! At 5%, this equates to $50 Million in revenue.

Sunday, September 26, 2010

Reality Check on The Housing Crisis

The time to damn people "who got in over their heads" passed three years ago... what do you say to the person with an 800 FICO score, worked hard for his or her adult life... still has "7 figures" in a retirement plan, has the Suze Orman "Gold Star" for having been perfect with their finances... and even, in 2005 bought that $500,000 dream home with $200,000 cash down... problem... that home is in Stockton, CA,... Las Vegas... Phoenix, AZ or any number of other hard hit areas... and is now, on a really great day, valued at $175,000?... The simple fact is, the "20%" took down 100% of the real estate markets... "We the People" bailed out the banks and Wall Street... effectively shunting all of the losses onto the homeowners... without a halt to the real estate crisis, the states will continue to sink into an ever deepening financial abyss... this is not just a moral decision... but a common sense business reality...

Monday, September 20, 2010

The Argument for Cram Down

It is a fact that there is a loan loss guaranty protecting banks from residential real estate loan losses... WaMu, Wachovia, Downey and Indymac were either seized or forced into selling to Chase, Wells Fargo, US Bank and OneWest Bank... Each buy/sell agreement contained a loan loss protection condition.

Thus, even though the bank's assets (loan portfolio) was sold in the range of 55-70% on the dollar, the treasury (you and me) guaranteed to cover any losses... based on not the purchase price, but instead 80% of the ORIGINAL loan amount, PLUS any delinquencies, thereby guarantying that the acquiring banks would turn a profit... AND that in the vast majority of instances they would refuse to cooperate in loan modifications... there is far more profit for them... which bodes the questions why not use cram down, forcing the banks to modify loans in principal, rate and term... and still give them the guaranty dollar amount...

Net result to the bank is identical... with the plus to the community of keeping people in their homes... stabilizing real estate values AND most important of all end the hemorrhage in real estate tax revenues... a true win - win compromise...



Sunday, September 12, 2010

Anti-Mulsim Hysteria

To understand just how ignorant, how stupid, how dangerous this anti-Mulsim hysteria (fueled by a media seeking to create the news) one merely needs to look at post WWI Germany and what happened to not only the Jews, but any person "not fitting the mold"... post Civil War United States and what "WE AMERICANS" did to the Irish and Chinese immigrants... how "WE AMERICANS" in the pre-WWI 20th Century... treated the Italian immigrants ("WE AMERICANS" created the slur WOP)... How "WE AMERICANS" ostracized eastern European immigrants and let's not overlook what "WE AMERICANS" did and to some extent continue to do our Black Americans post Civil War... Look what "WE AMERICANS" did to our Japanese Americans during WWII...

What is it with us that without exception, whenever there are economic hardships WE NEED to find someone, some ethnic or religious group that brought this hardship on us...

Understand how important the Muslim society has been to human kind over the centuries...
http://bama.ua.edu/~msa/contrib.html

Monday, July 26, 2010

Elizabeth Warren MUST head CFPB

And now for the stupid, ignorant politics in naming Elizabeth Warren to head up the consumer protection agency that she invented... the question how many of the clowns of congress... Dem and GOP alike "will be bought" off by the Wall Street and Banking lobbies... aka special interests (GOP) or "focus groups" (Dem)...

Tell me, what is t...he difference between a member of congress of congress selling votes to a lobby and Gov. Blagojevich selling a senate seat?

Read this article from the NY Times: http://www.nytimes.com/2010/07/26/business/26warren.html?ref=politics

Elizabeth Warren has YOUR back... now return the favor... get after your member of congress to support her nomination...

Saturday, July 24, 2010

Elizabeth Warren MUST head The Consumer Protection Agency

"We the People" need someone in consumer protection to have our back... write... write... and write again to your members of congress DEMANDING their support of Elizabeth Warren to head up the new agency... Wall Street and the Banks are afraid to death and have their lobbyist working 24/7 opposing her nomination... do you require any better proof that she is "our guy"...

YouTube her... watch the dozens of interviews... LISTEN to her words... Elizabeth Warren is the ONLY person in DC actually doing the peoples business, she NEEDS to be President... which bodes the question... Is the president afraid of her too; and will not give her a better stage?

Do we get the "change we can believe in", or is it simply whatever Wall Street wants Wall Street gets...

Sunday, May 16, 2010

Credit Scoring for Wall Street Investments



The recent Goldman Sachs revelations are to say the least troublesome. The position taken by the Wall Street Investment Banks that the trader’s duped, were sophisticated buyers that ought to have done their own due diligence, exposes an unacceptable arrogance. The sale of the Mortgage Backed Securities that brought the financial world to its knees was based on that very same premise… caveat emptor. You make your own investment decision, but we are going to hide and disguise the facts. Further, with each passing day, and revelation, it is becoming clearer that my charge of a vast conspiracy or at the very least misrepresentation by the Wall Street banks in cobbling together and passing off as investment grade, these fraudulent and extremely dangerous products; “guaranteed” by the equally bogus Credit Default Swap (CDS) A.I.G mortgage insurance policies.


In this mid-term election season, congress is going through its usual and customary charade of asking “tough” questions for the media and electorate, and then turning around and asking the Walls Street bankers for their advice on future regulations of their industry! We had Senator Levin asking soft ball questions of Lloyd Blankfein, Goldman Sachs Chairman, and then seeking his advice on crafting legislation!… Does the coyote want the chicken coop gate to swing in, or out!


We need, and want our investment banks, and Wall Street brokerages to offer products that will generate income. Yes, these will always be risk based offerings. By their very nature this will be the case. However, in this computer age, but there MUST be openness, and without the subterfuge that has been the usual and customary business practice of the markets. Had the markets implemented the exact same underwriting criteria that are used in approving real estate loans, this entire economic meltdown probably could not have occurred?


Some 20 plus years ago Fair Isaac's created FICO risk/credit scoring. Each of us has a credit report derived from a scoring model and maintained by the three credit repositories. Borrower’s who have demonstrated strong credit worthiness are rewarded with the highest credit scores, and receive interest rate “bonuses.” EVERY mortgage originator hangs their hat on these scores; and then factor in loan to value as the deciding factor in approving each loan. History has proven that the default rate is directly related to higher the credit scores, and the lower the loan to value. The higher the score, the lower the loan to value, the lower the defaults rate. The converse is true, credit scores under 680 and loan to values exceeding 90%, yield a greater default rate.


A Mortgage Backed Security is, in effect a mutual fund comprised of real estate mortgage loans. The MBS must have an AAA or higher rating to qualify as investment grade sufficient to be offered to pension plans. Insofar as every loan placed in the pools already has credit scoring and a loan to value, the mathematical formula to arrive at a credit score for each MBS is quite simple to achieve.


Originators would be required to enter every credit score and loan to value for each loan into a data base… PRIOR to selling any loan into the secondary markets. Every new entry will result in a new score for the pool. Set a minimum “Investment FICO” score, say 800, to be a minimum for an AAA+ rating, 790 for AAA, 780 for AAA- and so on. Further, an MBS cannot be comprised of loans originated from any single source, further eliminating the chance for collusion. As an additional safeguard, originators MUST be required to either retain a position in every loan sold, or provide lender paid mortgage insurance in every loan sold into the markets. The originator made the loan,and must be required to retain a level of risk. Full transparency as to the quality of the loans in each pool would be guaranteed. This method would still allow a Wall Street bank to cobble together whatever garbage it chooses into lower grade loans into a below investment grade marketable security. No regulations for the Wall Street Banks, no looking over their shoulders, winking at a worthless, inept SEC.


My method would far more open… caveat emptor would still be the name of the game… however, the buyer, with proper advance “warning” would then be in the position to make an informed business decision. Congress has proven to be both incapable and unwilling to implement meaningful Wall Street regulation. The SEC has proven to be nothing more than a federal bureau designed to pay lip service to the public.